UMBF stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

UMBF's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for UMBF entered a downward trend on October 02, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 159 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 122 of the 159 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 77%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

UMBF moved below its 50-day moving average on August 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for UMBF crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 01, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UMBF declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where UMBF's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 17 of 24 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 13 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +1.47% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UMBF advanced for three days, in 185 of 299 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.

UMBF may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 10 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. UMBF’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 66 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.310) is normal, around the industry mean (1.321). P/E Ratio (11.095) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.978). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.090) is also within normal values, averaging (1.190). Dividend Yield (0.013) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.807) is also within normal values, averaging (3.747).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

UMBF paid dividends on October 01, 2026